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Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is down 30% from its all-time high, but the nature of the decline points to a structural, mechanical breakdown rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.
A $1.1 Trillion Market Collapse
In a detailed X post, market commentator The Kobeissi Letter noted that the crypto market has erased roughly $1.1 trillion in value over the last 41 days, averaging a staggering –$27 billion per day. Prices now sit 10% below the levels seen during the historic Oct. 10 liquidation flush.
The slide began with heavy institutional outflows in late October, followed by another $1.2 billion in crypto fund redemptions in early November.
This wave of selling collided with crypto's extreme leverage structure, where 20x–100x margin is common.
Derivatives-Driven Spiral: Liquidations Fuelling Liquidations
At 100x leverage, a 2% move is enough to vaporize entire positions. That reality has turned minor dips into cascading liquidation events.
This feedback loop of overleverage has also crushed sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has collapsed to 10 (Extreme Fear), matching the February 2025 lows, even though BTC is still 25% higher year-over-year.
Gold vs. Bitcoin: Correlation Breaks
Bitcoin has sharply decoupled from gold, its strongest macro pair for over a year, underperforming the metal by 25 percentage points since the October crash.
Also Read: Bitcoin At $95,000, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Drops 2% Flat On ‘Extreme Fear’ Sentiment
Why It Matters: Data increasingly shows the market is not breaking due to fundamentals, but because of structural leverage unwinds, mechanical selling, and ETF-driven outflows. The core value thesis of crypto continues to strengthen even as markets reset.
As these pressures exhaust, the setup points toward the market approaching a cyclical bottom.
The damage outside Bitcoin is even steeper:
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Posted In: $BTC