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Cybersecurity ETFs staged a clean breakout on Thursday, rising more than 1% across the board even as Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), the sector’s most influential heavyweight, fell over 2% after its fiscal first quarter results, in which it beat earnings and revenue estimates.
The split reaction shows investors leaning harder into the cybersecurity theme itself, signaling growing conviction that AI-era tailwinds are lifting the broader ecosystem faster than one company’s short-term expense cycle can weigh it down.
• Check out how PANW shares are doing here.
In fact, the First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ:CIBR), which has an allocation of around 6%-7% to Palo Alto, surged 1.2%. That move could indicate institutional money is looking through Palo Alto’s temporary margin pressures due to its aggressive AI-driven acquisitions, and treating its AI-driven investments as a long-term gain for the sector rather than a drag.
Also higher by 1.8% was the Amplify Cybersecurity ETF (NYSE:HACK). With its broader distribution across hardware, software and service providers, HACK benefited from strength in names outside Palo Alto, especially mid-cap players viewed as potential beneficiaries of ongoing consolidation.
The Global X Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ:BUG), meanwhile, posted modest gains of 0.7%. BUG's growth-oriented tilt means it often reacts sharply to shifts in sector sentiment, and Thursday’s bounce suggests investors see Palo Alto’s platform expansion as a rising tide that could eventually spark deals among smaller, high-growth constituents.
Meanwhile, the iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF (NYSE:IHAK) rose about 1% to extend the story that the demand for AI-powered identity protection, cloud security and observability tools is accelerating despite Palo Alto's near-term spending spike.
Across all four funds, the story was the same: ETF investors are positioning for the cybersecurity supercycle, not sweating one stock’s post-earnings wobble.
While ETFs rallied, Palo Alto’s own shares slid over 2% on Thursday morning, despite beating expectations. Adjusted EPS came in at 93 cents, versus 89 cents expected, and revenue hit $2.47 billion, slightly above estimates. Sales rose 16% year-over-year, but net income dipped and capex surged to $84 million, well above expectations.
The company also announced another significant agreement: the acquisition of the cloud observability platform Chronosphere for $3.35 billion, in addition to the ongoing process of buying out Cyberark Software Ltd (NASDAQ:CYBR) for $25 billion. According to CEO Nikesh Arora, both are the building blocks in rebuilding the security stack for an AI-driven world-one in which attacks, infrastructures, and customers’ needs evolve at unprecedented speed.
That strategic push requires heavy investment now, and the market is treating those costs as Palo Alto’s burden to carry — not the sector. Palo Alto’s long-term prospects are also being considered positively, as it is in a position to benefit from the acquisitions once the near-term margin pressures are managed.
The moves on Thursday highlight a divergence: cybersecurity ETFs no longer track Palo Alto in lockstep. Increasingly, investors are betting on the structural AI tailwinds buoying the entire ecosystem of defensive technology identity, observability, cloud workloads and automated security-regardless of the near-term volatility of the sector’s bellwether.
Palo Alto may be paying for the transition today, but cybersecurity ETFs are clearly pricing in tomorrow.
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