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Editor’s Note: The future prices of benchmark tracking ETFs, the earnings and the headline of the story were updated.
U.S. stock futures rose on Monday after Friday’s advances. Futures of major benchmark indices were higher.
Optimism among investors is rising following New York Fed President John Williams‘ indication that a rate cut in December is still on the table.
He said in a speech on Friday that “I still see room for a further adjustment in the near term to the target range for the federal funds rate to move the stance of policy closer to the range of neutral.”
Meanwhile, investors await earnings from Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL), HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ), Deere & Co. (NYSE:DE), Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI), and others in this Thanksgiving holiday-shortened week.
The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.05% and the two-year bond was at 3.51%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 73.5% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting the current interest rates during its December meeting.
| Futures | Change (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.03% |
| S&P 500 | 0.30% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.51% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.20% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were higher in premarket on Monday. The SPY was up 0.31% at $661.09, while the QQQ advanced 0.57% to $593.41, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Communication services, health care, materials, consumer discretionary, and real estate sectors led the gains on Friday as all sectors ended in green.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.88% | 22,273.08 |
| S&P 500 | 0.98% | 6,602.99 |
| Dow Jones | 1.08% | 46,245.41 |
| Russell 2000 | 2.80% | 2,369.59 |
Prominent economic and market voices are sounding alarms regarding U.S. stability, highlighting risks from market concentration and policy choices.
Investor Ruchir Sharma argues that “American exceptionalism” is peaking, warning that “America is now one big bet on AI.” With AI capital expenditure driving 40% of growth, Sharma contends this “maniacal focus” conceals deep fiscal vulnerabilities.
He observes that while investors currently offer a “free pass” on deficits, the market represents “a good story that’s gone too far.” He cautions that “If the AI boom was not happening, the economy would be weaker,” advising diversification as the “gap of outperformance” closes.
Compounding these structural risks, Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns of a “serious affordability crisis.” He argues that specific policies, specifically tariffs and immigration restrictions, are “juicing” inflation.
Zandi notes that “It didn't have to be this way,” but protectionist measures have “upended that outlook,” pointing toward “even higher inflation dead-ahead.”
While Sharma fears a bubble burst, Zandi emphasizes the burden on consumers, predicting that “tough financial times” will persist for the “foreseeable future.”
See Also: How to Trade Futures
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on this week;
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.43% to hover around $57.56 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.20% to hover around $4,073.96 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $4,381.6 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.04% lower at the 100.1430 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.57% lower at $85,875.64 per coin.
Asian markets closed lower on Monday, except Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Australia's ASX 200 indices. China’s CSI 300 index. India’s NIFTY 50, Japan's Nikkei 225, and South Korea's Kospi indices fell. European markets were mostly higher in early trade.
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